2010 Preview: Updated projections Jan 21

Alright, I have gone back and updated my numbers for your 2010 Red Sox. I have updated the players who are on the team, and included some more of the positional and pitching depth charts.

After working through a much more sophisticated park and league adjustment, I get more optimistic numbers for Mike Cameron (.254/.337/.458/.795), Marco Scutaro (.285/.369/.404/.773) and Adrian Beltre (.277/.326/.444/.770). Notice that all three of these guys are coming from bad hitter’s parks, and that’s the primary difference in these predictions. That means that our front office probably paid very close attention to run environments, and that the offensive falloff from last year should be less than the 40 runs I originally predicted. I realize that there are those who are more bullish on these guys, but consider this to be a good conservative number, like a 50th percentile or over/under line. Click here for the full spreadsheet.


One Response to 2010 Preview: Updated projections Jan 21

  1. Pingback: Links 3-16-2010: Westmoreland, Lowrie, more ST notes, Nomar, our offense, the farm system « Red Sox Talk

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