Links 11-15-2010: Free agents, offseason progress, Hot Stovespeak

It’s a tough choice this offseason: Carl Crawford or Jayson Werth? As I’ve discussed here, I think getting either one would be a very nice addition, but perhaps Werth is a better fit long-term as a right-handed power bat. Patrick Sullivan agrees, also citing the length of the expected contracts.

As far as Cliff Lee goes, we could certainly afford to sign him, but it’s not the right move this offseason unless he can play third base or catcher. It looks like it’ll be a bidding war between the Yankees and the Rangers (and Nationals???) at this point anyways.

Via Brian MacPherson, Ken Rosenthal notes that the pitching prospect the Sox are most likely to trade could be Felix Doubront. Doubront has good stuff and a good attitude generally, but he made some noises about not wanting to be a reliever last year, then quickly changed his tune (publicly, at least). My guess is he disagrees with management about his ability to be a big league starter. MacPherson points out that the acquisition of Andrew Miller seems to cover the role Doubront was expected to play on next year’s club.

A number of offseason updates on our hurt players compiled by MacPherson, that really useful ProJo guy. Looks like all of our major injury guys are on track for a full recovery.

We have also lost a number of players through minor league free agency, including Carlos Delgado, Dusty Brown and Ramon A. Ramirez.

23-year old Yamaico Navarro, the forgotten shortstop in the Sox farm system, is reminding people in the Dominican Winter League that Jose Iglesias is not the only shortstop around these parts.

Why is Terry Francona so effective as a manager? Recently departed John Farrell says that it’s all about the players trusting Tito.

As Alex Speier points out, it’s important to be aware of the politics of the Hot Stove. Agents will say whatever they think will land their clients a bigger and longer deal, and teams will say the right things, whether it’s their true intention or not. Adrian Beltre won the Silver Slugger this year at third base, that’s a fact.

The Marlins have broken off extension talks with Dan Uggla, and are reportedly looking to trade the power hitter. What’s that, you say? We need someone who can play third base? Well, whaddya know? It’s an interesting option that the Sox have looked at before. The problem will be other teams racing to trade too much for a player they have to pay big bucks to. It was reported that Uggla was looking for something on the order of 5 years and $58M from the Fish.


4 Responses to Links 11-15-2010: Free agents, offseason progress, Hot Stovespeak

  1. Pat says:

    Considering how bad Uggla’s glove would probably be at third, I think we’d be just as well served getting a FA first basemen, and moving Youk across the diamond.

    And if it wasn’t for the handedness, Crawford would be a much better land than Werth, IMO. (2 cents)

    • redsoxtalk says:

      Not to defend Uggla’s defense, which is unquestionably bad, but his UZR breakdown shows his main deficiency to be range. That becomes less important at third base, so he might not be horrendous there. Of course, he might be too. I have his raw projection to be .260/.350/.480 in the NL, though that would probably take a hit coming over to the AL East.

      I agree, in a vacuum I like Crawford better as a player. But MUCH better? I’m not sure about that. If/once Crawford’s legs go, his bat clearly loses out to Werth’s power, and he loses his decisive defensive advantage.

  2. Pat says:

    I know there are counter examples, but I compare Crawford to Ichiro Suzuki and Kenny Lofton as far as longevity goes. I guess it comes down to a feeling, but I feel like Crawford’s speed and athleticism could keep him cranking out 4 WAR seasons at the end of a 6 year contract.

    Tangent aside, Werth would be a nice addition to our lineup, and a great replacement for Drew after next season.

    • redsoxtalk says:

      I agree with you for the most part on Crawford, Pat. Players who demonstrate an ability to continue to steal successfully past 27-28 years old tend to continue to do so, barring a serious injury.

      Take a look at my career projections of Werth and Crawford here:

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