10-26-2011: Lackey getting TJ surgery

At his inaugural press conference, new GM Ben Cherington announced that pitcher John Lackey will undergo Tommy John surgery and miss all of 2012.

Several take-home points from this:

  • Lackey’s poor showing in 2011 was likely due at least in part to his bum elbow; it wasn’t completely a change in talent level so much as it was an injury.
  • The front office should have secured another starter besides Erik Bedard, or at least had a better contingency plan.
  • The lost season means that Lackey’s option year kicks in for the league minimum (making him potentially tradeable towards the end of his deal).
  • The option year means that the AAV of his deal goes down to $13.8M, which helps in determining the CBT payroll.

The Sox will have to be in on one substantial free agent pitcher, or else swing a deal for one this offseason. What do you think is the right approach?

4 Responses to 10-26-2011: Lackey getting TJ surgery

  1. toosoxy says:

    I don’t know. The MRIs of his elbow are virtually the same as when we hired him. Whatever. He’s gone. That’s swell.
    and remember when rumors of TJ popped up this summer and he accused everyone of lying?
    but the important thing is, he’s gone.
    i say deal. i know this is controversial- but… what about c.c.? there’s great debate in ny about keeping him…
    and desperate times call for… well… you know…

    • redsoxtalk says:

      Sabathia’s about as sure a thing as you can get right now, and he’s sure to be good for at least 2-3 more years. 220+ innings of quality pitching would be a godsend right now for this team…

      However, we’d have to pony up a 4-5 year deal at $25M/per to lure him away, I’d think. Are we really ready to dump $100-125M on a 31-year old to be? I’m not sure this is the answer.

    • redsoxtalk says:

      Of course, taking away a tough lefty like that from NY is worth something too. He’s 9-7 with a 3.10 ERA career against the Rays in 171 IP, which is also nice. I think if we’re going the free agent route, we’d have to consider him at least.

  2. Pat says:

    I usually hate the idea of sinking a lot of money into starters, especially if they’re over thirty, but I think taking Sabathia is a decent idea. I never liked the Lackey signing, but considering Sabathia is such a workhorse and that we’d be taking him from the Yankees, I say he’d be worth the investment.

    I almost wish this team would just be broken up for prospects, but it’s hard to argue that’s a good idea when they have such a strong offense in place already. Might as well go all in with what we have.

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